Taha Baadi vs Marko Mesarovic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Taha Baadi wins 44.48% of second serve points, slightly below Marko Mesarovic's 46.67%. Can this marginal difference influence the match outcome? Slightly, as it's closely tied to predicting match winners.
• Return Game Advantage: Taha Baadi excels in returning, securing 46.72% of points on opponents' second serves compared to Marko Mesarovic's 32.26%. On first serve returns, Baadi leads with 28.47% over Mesarovic's 22.05%. This suggests Baadi's adeptness in return games could be critical.
• Handling Pressure: Baadi saves a significant 53.53% of breakpoints, demonstrating composure, while Mesarovic lags with just 24.39%. Could this give Baadi an upper hand during crucial match moments? Quite likely.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Baadi’s match win rate is 51.67% (31/29), whereas Mesarovic has a higher win rate at 68.75% (11/5), hinting at Mesarovic's stronger recent form.
• Surface Suitability: Both players achieve their best win percentage on indoor hard courts, marked at 51%. With Baadi faltering on grass (0%) and Mesarovic having moderate success on clay (50%), their mutual preference for indoor surfaces might neutralize this factor.
• Tournament Level: Baadi has engaged predominantly in Futures/ITF $10K tournaments, winning 56.82% of matches (25/19), whereas Mesarovic mirrors this, winning 68.75% (11/5). Which player's event level experience translates better into wins? The higher percentage favors Mesarovic slightly.
• Quality of Competition: Baadi has faced opponents with an average rank of 378.55, while Mesarovic has encountered higher-ranked players averaging 156.69. This implies Mesarovic frequently competes against tougher adversaries.
• Deciding Sets: When matches extend to a deciding set, Baadi holds a minor edge, winning 50% compared to Mesarovic's 40%. This hints Baadi might have a slight advantage if the match is tightly contested.
• Current Event Form: The players’ current performances at the ongoing event should be considered, as they can significantly sway match predictions based on who is in better form.

Editorial Prediction (November 7, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the upcoming tennis match, both players bring distinct strengths and weaknesses to the court. Taha Baadi demonstrates solid return game capabilities, particularly on second serve returns, which could disrupt Marko Mesarovic's service games.

However, Mesarovic shows promise with a superior match win percentage over the past year and maintains a strong second serve point win rate. His experience against higher-ranked opponents might lend him an edge in adaptability and pressure handling.

Given the statistical overview, Mesarovic is slightly favored to capitalize on his recent form and experience in tougher competitions, despite Baadi's pressure-handling abilities.

Considering all factors, Marko Mesarovic is the likely winner for this upcoming tennis match.